Who has the easier run to the title? IT’S NOT ARSENAL!

Who has the easier run to the title? IT’S NOT ARSENAL!

Well, we won last night but we shouldn’t get hungover. There is a lot to do. I don’t think EtH can do any harm to Klopp and it’s a win for them.

Lets break down the games all 3 teams have left to play.

I’m ignoring if it’s a home or away game because at this stage, it don’t matter. All 3 title contenders have to play Tottenham and Wolves. Arsenal and Liverpool have to play Villa and Everton in common while Liverpool and City have Fulham and West Ham opponents in common. If you believe for an instance that playing against Bournemouth, Crystal Palace and Luton Town is almost same, the only team that is on disadvantage is Arsenal – because we play Chelsea and Man Utd. City on the other hand plays Brighton and Forrest.

We play 3 games against top 6 clubs, while both City and Liverpool play only Tottenham. While we have to earn a win against Man Utd at Old Trafford, Liverpool will play Aston Villa and City against Fulham. While we try to win Pochettino battle, both these team will play Everton and Brighton respectively.


That’s some tough luck. If you ask a neutral, they will say both Pool and City have a better probability to win. If you ask an Arsenal fan, we don’t give a fuck what probability says and we will beat both Chelsea and Man Utd and register a 3-0 win at Shite Hart Lane.

It’s a mixed feeling though if I am being honest. We have Champions League to play for as well, and the gods haven’t shown mercy with us playing Bayern over 2 legs and one of the City / Madrid in semis. There is no margin for error and even a draw at this point can derail your title challenge.

The best part of this 3-way title challenge is that no team plays against each other. If we win all our games, and Liverpool slips, we win the title. If Liverpool win all, they run away with the title. If City win all their games, it doesn’t matter if either Liverpool or Arsenal do no drop a point.


I would say we are in a better situation up until now than City. I would say we have much harder games to play and win than both the teams.

59 Comments

  1. Aitcho

    Away games may play a part. Pool has a run of 3 straight away games in there along with their Europa commitments.

    City also have to squeeze their away game at Spurs in somewhere, postponed due to FAC, that’s effectively away from home too Wembley.

    I read that Opta odds were partly influenced by betting stats. Odds influenced by betting patterns. I can drop £5m I don’t have on Arsenal to win and make us more likely to win according to the bookies

    It’s too close. I’d make lolerpol faves because they have more points and only that. People making ManC faves because…ManC, and I think that’s partly the reason for many, are being lazy.

    You’re right MB, ultimately I don’t give a fuck about probability, most of us won’t and I’m going to ignore any data that disagrees with me. But let’s not pretend some of these analysts are basing all their positions on nothing but data either.

  2. Hoopah

    Good post Ambarish
    Is good we have an Engineer with the tools as our Blog Master

  3. Kroenkephobe

    Hoopah
    Agreed!

    Watching the manure-bin dippers game. Goalless so far but christ man utd are poor.

  4. Kroenkephobe

    It’s the Spuds away game that is looming largest in my mind. We need to channel the spirit of 71 for that match.

  5. Marc

    ManU are such a poor team – do they have a single player who would get into the first team of Arsenal, Liverpool or City?

  6. Liverpool showing up and looking a level above United.

    To be crowned champions we have to beat all teams during the season: it’s that simple.

    If we don’t win, it’s down to not getting enough points where the manager will be rightly questioned in the final season analysis.

    Unfortunately for us we lost easy points earlier in the season, and are having to rely on Pool dropping points which they don’t look like doing.

    Still 60+ minutes of football so there’s hope if only a slim one.

    Onana has kept United in the game.

  7. Kroenkephobe

    M – meek
    A – appeasers
    N – novices
    U – underprepared
    R – really fucking shit
    E – execrable

  8. Kroenkephobe

    Hi Marc
    The only one I’d consider is a motivated and full firing Rashford.

    Tony – Onana in my view is poor. He was at fault for Diaz’s goal and he’s an utter show pony, diving when he doesn’t have to etc.

    I remember that twat on le Grove called Mr Serge (a shape-shifting dickhead). He was talking about Onana back in the day and saying he was the bees’ knees. I told him I always thought he (Serge) was a massive fucking Onanist. He shut up after that.

  9. Marc

    Kroenke

    Not sure about Rashford. Sky have just said Allardyce is in the Director’s box – ManU are that fucking stupid are they? Their fans will go Ape shit at the thought.

  10. Marc

    aren’t not are.

    Although obvious they could be!

  11. Marc

    Fucking ManU are the bollocks!

  12. Kroenkephobe

    Ugly, fat, corrupt, gum chewing, cunty face Sam. Too delicious to contemplate. I’ve got a strange feeling Manure might score next despite… Ooh fuck they have

  13. Marc

    Kroenke

    You missed off that he was a really shit manager at this peak and he’s nowhere near that anymore!

  14. United thrown a lifeline and have finally woken up. Game on now.

  15. KP Onana reminds me of Mad Jens a bit, but you’re right Onana is a showman first.

    I think Fat Sam is a good fit for Maure. Should set them back a few more years.

  16. KP
    Mr Serge was an unpleasant Greek chappy for sure.

    I see Maguire doing his best to help Pool win.

    Good game now opening up🙏🙏🙏

  17. Kroenkephobe

    Are Manure thinking…

    honours are even – lets play thus out for a draw

    Or

    Fuck it, let’s go for all 3 points.

  18. Kroenkephobe

    Kobbeeeeeeeeeee. What a goal.

  19. Kroenkephobe

    Klopp blowing a gasket

  20. Marc

    Can ManU hold out?

  21. Seems to be Liverpool’s way this season with late goals. Hard to see United getting a winner.

  22. Marc

    I’ll take a draw.

  23. A draw is a good result for us if not the best. If we win the title, we should have a medal for EtH as well.

    Btw, the first para of this article was written just to jinx a Liverpool win.

  24. At the end of the day it’s in our hands now thanks to the GD. When we we’re free scoring my gut felt it was a sign or something. I’m not going all David Icke here but I genuinely felt winning by heavy score lines meant more than the numerical achievements we were clocking up.

    In my somewhat eclectic rationale I associated those GD building games as some kind of omen, and why I help such importance with Pool dropping points this evening: praise be the footballing gods!

    7 games to go, and it’s finally in our hands where we have a full squad, which is why I’m not worried about our run in, which when I first posted my feelings Marc rightly reminded me of the potential banana skins. So far, so good and now Manure have helped us greatly by tipping the PL trophy scales in our favour.

    I’m going full “Dare to Dream” mode as I feel this squad will leave it all out there after each game. The will bleed for each other. Zinny will cry for everyone.

    Seriously, it’s ours to lose but 2 questions still remain:

    Can El B keep keep our winning momentum going?

    Will El B let our CL aspirations limit our PL potential?

    We’ll know after the next 7 PL games at least.

  25. Marc

    Tony

    As you say in our own hands and quite simply if City were in our position with our fixtures they’d take a view that we’ll go out and win all of our matches.

  26. The Real Vieira Lynn

    Aitcho—two quick points, so as to keep things relatively simple for you

    (1) I have never been a Xhaka fan, in fact, quite the opposite, which of course should come as no surprise to you my little stalking troll…I specifically referenced him to highlight just how disappointing I’ve been in Havertz, especially from a bang for your buck perspective…sorry my obvious attempt at sarcasm went over your head(again)

    (2) if, as you would profess, Havertz has met or even exceeded expectations, then have I got an investment opportunity for you…your obvious tunnel vision and obtuse nature have once again led you astray…even your managerial overlord wouldn’t support such a farcical notion if it weren’t for the fact that he’s the actual rube who got got by the Blues…think about it, his very presence has required MA to both revert back to a two DM system and lean into a far more defensive gameplan, as he knows full-well that deploying Kai up top will likely stifle our goal production…on any other team, if it weren’t for the exorbitant investment, he would have been summarily benched, but he was fortunate enough to have an egomaniacal manager who would rather burn the house down than admit fault

    being a fan doesn’t mean that you have to be a thirsty bitch when it comes to every piece of club-related messaging…I have fucking eyes, so I certainly don’t need someone else to tell me what I see and don’t see…just saying…Cheers

  27. The Real Vieira Lynn

    big slip-up today by Pool…it’s difficult to imagine that this season could come down to a shit back pass that led to a 45 yard strike, but who gives a fuck if that opens the door for us a crack…let’s hope the same sort of performance is coming our way when we face United on May 11th, as they were nowhere near good enough to get a result against us unless we gift them a goal or two in a similar fashion

    of more pressing concern is our fast approaching CL first leg fixture…just feel we need to have a two goal advantage heading back to Bayern, which is a tough ask…after watching their return fixture, down by a goal, against Lazio, I’m concerned about our ability to see them out with anything less…not because I think they’re a measurably better side, it’s just that few have gone to Bayern with tighter margins and prevailed…to be frank, considering their inconsistent form, no one should look upon us as a long shot proposition…in fact, if it weren’t for our rather lengthy CL absence and our history against this particular club, this is a pick’em for me

    now my mindset could drastically change depending on the selections of both managers, as Tuchel hasn’t really found his best 11 this season, whereas MA’s propensity to run his lineup back could see us struggle for goals…here’s hoping we opt for a lineup with the most potential goals in it, which would see Marts returning on the left…personally I would like to see Tross in the 8-hole, Rice sitting deep and either Tomi or Kiwior at LB, but that’s likely too offensively-minded for our gaffer…if MA does stick with the whole 2 DM narrative, I hope that Rice and Partey get the nod, but I’m certainly not holding my breath…just concerned that MA might go into full Etihad “play not to lose” mode, as that would be a real shame

  28. KP
    Mixed fortunes for you in Wales; Cardiff were beaten by Hull where in my very young music days I managed to open a 7.5-tonne truck top like a can opener at a Hull petrol station. No sleep for 30+ hours so running on empty, with the 2-tone tour in full flight and a roady down for the count hence me driving. Later parked at the side of a motorway service station there was a massive bang at the back of said damaged truck while my backline road crew we’re sleeping on the PA speakers in the back.

    When I got out to the shouting from inside the back I saw a short Brummie guy climbing the services embankment who said, “Eye up lad, ave you seen et wheel?” I looked at the back of the truck all busted in and thought only oxyacetylene is going to free my road crew from the mangled shutter.

    A week later I was getting lost in Harlem on the way back from Philli, in 80, not the safest place to stop to ask for directions.

    Haveford West did you proud, KP, though, and we now have one hand on the cup, and we’ll really get to see what El B is made of and if he’s learnt from last season?

    We have the squad now to win the PL, and should win our last 7 games where Spuds away is by far our toughest game, but it’s our penultimate game where we should be on a PL winning high with only 2 games left and possibly a CL final to navigate.

    The Chavs who will likely have eyes on beaches and holidays, at home on the 24th shouldn’t be too much trouble nor the visit of Bournemouth. Likewise, I don’t see Villa at home anything other than 3 points; ditto Wolves away.

    Anyone see things differently or are you all daring to dream as well?

  29. TRVL
    Good post where like you I’d love us to hand Bayern the collective arses on a plater of a duo of 5:1 wins home and away. Not going to happen of course. It’s the potential to impede our title charge that worries me the most with El B.

    We shouldn’t be sacrificial lambs to the German slaughter, but equally, our selections should be PL minded first and foremost. For this reason, I’d save Partey, TRVL. Especially for the Chavs and Spud games. I’d play ESR and keep Rice more in the 6 role with the odd pivot with ESR but also Havertz used heavily in defense against Bayern.

    We’ve shown our CL credentials now and fared better than I thought we would, but the PL trophy is what counts first. We can lay claim to the CL trophy next season and seasons thereafter; because we have a young squad only missing a 20+-goal a season striker which I hope at least we buy from this coming summer window.

  30. NORG

    A weekend away staying with old friends of 48years. He is a fellow Gooner and we topped up our wine glasses after Saka had put away the penalty. My friend quite likes Havertz for his ‘spoilers’ game but agrees we will not get stronger and dominate other top teams next season if he plays and does not add something extra to his game. He is not capable of fast counter attacking that is sometimes required. Rotation? currently does not appear in El B’s vocabulary. A good win against BHA – they will be a better side next year as their business model allowed too many players to depart last year.

  31. Aitcho

    Trvl,
    Your verbosity and personal insults are where we end up when your football opinions turn out to worthless. Not all, just a few clangers amd clangers you won’t let go.

    You don’t need to make it simple for me, you need to make it make sense when you suggest that Tets is ‘leaning into a defensive set up to cover Havertz’ lack of output’. We’re the top scorers. Great XG. KH goal involvement numbers, good. It makes no sense to ignore the data just because you’ve made horribly wrong judgements on both Havertz and Arteta.

    Havertz’ goal at BHA was a thing of striking 101 beauty. The in, out, in, was textbook, create the space. Yet you say, defenders fault, even Eddie would score. Watch again. We weren’t silly to let Xhaka go. Xhaka wouldn’t have scored it, neither would Eddie. Havertz brings more than Xhaka did. You can agree in April even if you weren’t sure in Oct.

    You’ve been wrong about so much, Jorginho, Trossard come to mind last season, Raya Havertz this, not buying a no9 in the window despite being top scorers every other week.

    We’ve recruited well, the team is coached well. That’s not being a thirsty bitch as you call it, that’s recognising we’re in a title race again and currently top. And enjoying it. That’s what we tend to do as fans.

    Watch the games with those eyes, read the numbers. Enjoy them rather than get mad over stuff you make up and have no way of knowing. We can debate real things all day long but you don’t have to be rude when your points end up being garbage or your fantasy scenarios where you mind read the players levels of distaste or mistrust for Tets.

    Keep to the football, keep it evidence based, keep it civil and you’ll look like less of a blowhard.

    Cheers

  32. The Real Vieira Lynn

    Tony—I get what you’re driving at, but I’m not a fan of putting all our eggs in one basket, especially knowing that City and Real are facing each other…Bayern is totally beatable and are far from the finished product who dominated us some years ago…in fact, I thnk the odds of us winning the CL are not too dissimilar from the odds of us winning the PL title…it’s clear that the inmates are running the Munich asylum, which likely means that some of their more problematic players, from an opponents standpoint, are going to be wrongly benched and we should take full advantage of this situation by playing our most offensively-minded starters in the first leg…of course, I very much doubt that MA will opt for this course of action, but I hope that I’m wrong

    Norg—I totally agree with your BHA assessment, as there will always be “down” years when you’re a “selling” team, especially when you lose several key pieces in the same window…to be fair, he should be applauded for what he’s managed to accomplish in light of the above departures, a handful of serious injuries to some his best and brightest and the fact that they likewise qualified for the Europa League

    as for Havertz, the current “uptick” narrative is largely predicated on the fact that we don’t have another real goalscoring option up top and we’ve been in good form, from a results perspective…imagine how different those views would have been if we had stumbled into another scoreless or low scoring draw following our City borefest and we were on the outside looking in…really good players don’t require heavily massaged messaging to explain their greatness on the pitch…it’s not like we’re listening to matches on the fucking radio…Cheers

  33. The Real Vieira Lynn

    Aitcho—no wonder you’re such a lover of all things Arteta-related, as you’re the personification of a blunt instrument…have the decency to actually read someone’s response before spewing even more nonsense in my general direction…keep your basic shit to yourself bud…Cheers

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